Uses the causal and evaluation codes of a GABEK^® project to calculate how evaluations might develop. The program simulates, round by round, how changes in individual factors affect the causal network and the evaluation index. It shows which factors could be strengthened or weakened and which developments could reach a tipping point. The forecast does not replace interpretation, but provides a transparent basis for decisions.

Features

• Import GABEK^® basic and WinRelan^® projects
• Overview of all causal variables, their evaluations and effects
• Simulation with adjustable rounds and amplification, optionally calibrated automatically to a stable evaluation index
• Evaluation index curve across increasing numbers of rounds
• Results table showing the balance, change in balance, tipping point and effectiveness of each variable
• Exclusion test: “What would the index be without a particular characteristic?”
• Effect chains: a colored dot for each variable shows whether strengthening or weakening it raises or lowers the evaluation index
• A causal graph for each variable, explaining its effects round by round.

Screenshots